Game theory analysis on evolution of ship emission supervision and strategy to succeed

In practicing emission control zone policy, it is found that the management mechanism appears not perfect and the technical means for supervision are not appropriate. As for the opposite side, the ship operators are trying to evade the emission regulations whenever possible. The game theory model of the evolution of ship emission management and the dynamic model of evolutionary game of supervision system are built. They are used to carry out effective simulation of the development of ship emissions pollution control zone policy. The research shows that the government’s administrative budget and the technical capability of supervision greatly influence the decisions of the government. Meantime, the supervision capacity and the investment of the government have significant influence on the attitude of the shipping enterprises. Suggestion is given as follows: the government should arrange more investment in strengthening supervision capacity, improving the technical level of supervision technology and developing a long term promotion mechanism for green development.