一种基于熵权-TOPSIS模型的航标失常风险评价方法

    A risk assessment method for aids to navigation based on entropy weights and TOPSIS model

    • 摘要: 为对不同海域航标失常风险进行定量评价,建立基于熵权-TOPSIS法的航标失常风险评价模型,并采用熵权法确定评价指标权重。考虑航标空间分布特点,将青岛港水域航标划分为5个海域,并从自然环境、航道环境、交通环境等3个方面构建航标失常风险评价指标体系;运用TOPSIS模型,获得各评价海域的风险贴近度并进行风险大小排序,以此为依据评价各海域航标失常风险,并与航标失常数据进行比较,评价结果与航标失常数据分布一致,验证了模型的有效性。该方法可用于航标管理部门制定航标巡检计划的分析计算,为巡检频度设计和航标维护管理方案制定提供数据支撑,以提高航标管理效能。

       

      Abstract: In order to quantitatively evaluate the risk of aberration in different sea areas, an evaluation model of aberration risk based on entropy weight-TOPSIS method was established, and the weight of evaluation index was determined by entropy weight method. Considering the spatial distribution characteristics of navigational signs, the water area of Qingdao Port is divided into 5 sea areas, and the risk assessment index system of navigational signs is constructed from three aspects: natural environment, channel environment and traffic environment. TOPSIS model was used to obtain the risk allocation progress of each evaluated sea area and to sort the risk magnitude. On this basis, the risk of navigation mark failure in each sea area was evaluated, and the evaluation results were compared with the navigation mark failure data. The distribution of the evaluation results was basically consistent with the navigation mark failure data, which verified the effectiveness of the model. This method can be used for the analysis and calculation of the navigation mark inspection plan made by the navigation mark management department, and provide data support for the design of inspection frequency and the formulation of navigation mark maintenance management plan, so as to improve the efficiency of navigation mark management.

       

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