基于协调度的海上专业救助力量部署决策研究

    Decision-making of deployment of marine rescue force based on the coordination degree

    • 摘要: 针对当前海洋生产结构调整带来的海上救助需求变化和缺少救助力量部署决策工具等问题,提出一种基于协调度的海上救助力量部署复合决策方法。通过建立协调度评价模型对救助单元救助能力和海上救助需求进行协调性分析,运用层次分析法(AHP)对海洋经济发展中存在的海上救助需求进行评价,使用基本图形分析法建立各海洋产业对不同等级的专业海洋救助船的需求模型,构造空间分布。运用此方法对专业救助力量实际值守海域进行计算及分析,进一步优化部署方案。结果表明:通过此方法得到的部署决策意见与多数可查的海上救助应急处置情况十分接近,验证了该方法的有效性。

       

      Abstract: In order to address the issues of marine rescue demand changing in adjustment of marine production structure and less deployment tools of marine salvage team, based on the study of the experts, this paper proposes a deployment method based on the coordination degree. Firstly, aiming at constructing the dynamic deployment method evaluation system which is suitable for marine salvage team and the marine industries, this paper measures the coordinated development degree of marine rescue needs and abilities of marine rescue units by using the coordinated development model, estimates the weight of marine rescue needs in different time period by using AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process), constructs the spatial distribution of the urgency of rescue needs with graphics analytical method. Finally, by using this method to analyze the practical deployment problems, this paper proposes a better deployment solution. The result shows that the decision making of marine rescue force deployment, by this method, is similar with most marine emergency cases and verifies the effectiveness of the method proposed in this paper for decision making of marine rescue force deployment.

       

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