“一带一路”倡议对沿线国家集装箱海运连通性的影响研究

    The impact of the Belt and Road Initiative on container shipping connectivity enjoyed by the countries along the route

    • 摘要: 为研究“一带一路”倡议(BRI)对沿线国家集装箱海运连通性的影响,基于2010~2020年127个国家的面板数据,运用渐进双重差分法对该影响效应进行研究。研究表明,“一带一路”倡议显著地促进了中国同沿线国家之间的集装箱海运连通性,并且这种促进作用呈逐年递增的趋势。在经过平行趋势检验和一系列的稳健性检验后该结果依然是稳健的。异质性分析结果显示,“一带一路”倡议主要促进了中国同欧洲和大洋洲国家之间的集装箱海运连通性;对发展中国家的连通性具有显著的促进作用。

       

      Abstract: The impact of the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI) on container shipping connectivity is studied based on 2010~2020 panel data from 127 counties along the route. The time-varying difference-in-differences model is used for the research. The findings are as follows: the BRI has significantly accelerated the development of container shipping connectivity between China and the countries along the route and the effect of acceleration went up every year; the parallel trend test and a series of robustness tests proved the robustness of the conclusion; the heterogeneity analysis shows that BRI have mainly improved sea shipping connectivity between China and European and Oceania countries; the effect is more significant for developing countries.

       

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