基于EEMD和EIIKF的船舶轴系状态趋势预测研究

    Trend prediction of the operating status of ship engine room equipment based on EEMD and EIIKF

    • 摘要: 监测、分析、预测轴系的状态数据对保障船舶动力系统正常工作具有重要意义。基于船舶轴系振动状态监测,提出集合经验模态分解(EEMD)和增强型间歇性未知输入卡尔曼滤波器(EIIKF)相结合的故障趋势预测方法。在进行模态分解前,通过加入白噪声信号优化信号的可分解性,避免出现模态混叠。进而对滤波重构后的信号进行序贯分析得到振动信号的特征曲线,采用EIIKF方法对特征曲线分析预测,并通过引入间歇性参数,对部分未知输入项带来的不确定性进行补偿。在此基础上通过故障判别模型进行故障诊断,实现基于轴系振动信号的故障预测。利用实测故障样本数据对所提出的方法进行验证,其预测结果的及时性和准确性均优于一般模态分解和卡尔曼滤波器预测的方法,验证了改进后方法的有效性和优越性。

       

      Abstract: A fault prediction method for shafting of main engine is developed based on shaft vibration monitoring. Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition(EEMD) and Enhanced Intermittent Unknown Input Kalman Filter(EIIKF) are introduced into the fault prediction method. The vibration signal is mixed with a white noise before decomposition to prevent the modal mixing and improve the decomposability. The vibration signal, after filtering and reconstruction, is processed by sequential analysis to get the characteristic curve of the signal. EIIKF is used to analyze the characteristic curve and do working status prediction. In this processing, by introducing intermittent parameters, the uncertainty caused by some unknown input items is compensated. Fault diagnosis is carried out by checking the working status against a fault discrimination model. The method is verified with actual data from engine operation. The fault prediction capability of the method is seen better than that of conventional mode decomposition and Kalman filtering in terms of accuracy and timeliness.

       

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