船舶运输锂电池集装箱火灾场景模拟和预测方法

    Simulation and prediction method of fire scenario in marine transport lithium battery container

    • 摘要: 为预测锂离子电池集装箱在船舶上的火灾热灾害,设置着火集装箱位置、积载高度和风速等典型工况,采用FLACS 10.9构建甲板上锂电池集装箱火灾场景,利用Cat Boost算法建立火灾温度和热流密度预测模型。结果表明:锂电池集装箱上下空间空气量与温度密切相关,着火层在第7层时火灾最高温度最高,着火层为7~8层时,高温和热流密度的损害范围最小;积载高度增加会造成空气流动减少,导致火灾最高温度上升,温度影响范围变大,热流密度在竖直方向扩散距离变长;风速在1~4 m/s范围时,风有助于散热,降低最高温度,风速达到5 m/s时,火焰卷吸氧气的增加,最高温度升高,风速达到6 m/s时,风的散热作用又占主导,火灾最高温度再次降低,风速越高则高温和热流密度损害面积越小;将Cat Boost算法预测的温度、热流密度值与样本对比,能看出模型数值准确性很高,通过模型能发现过热点。研究成果能为锂电池集装箱积载方式的确定和相应的消防监测提供参考。

       

      Abstract: To accurately predict the thermal fire hazard of these containers under different stowage methods on a ship, this paper establishes typical working conditions, such as the position of the fire container, stowage height and wind speed. It then simulates the fire scene of lithium battery containers on the deck using FLACS 10. 9 and establishes a prediction model for the temperature and heat flow density of the fire flow field using the Cat Boost algorithm. The results demonstrate that the air volume within the upper and lower spaces of the lithium battery container is directly proportional to the change in fire temperature. The maximum temperature occurs when the fire layer is in the 7th layer, and the range of damage caused by high temperatures and heat flux is minimised when the fire layer is between the 7th and 8th layers. Increasing the stowage height decreases airflow, resulting in higher maximum fire temperatures, a larger temperature influence range and a longer vertical diffusion distance of heat flux. When the wind speed is in the range of 1-4 m/s, it helps to dissipate heat and reduce the maximum temperature. However, when the wind speed reaches 5 m/s, the oxygen uptake rate of the flame increases, resulting in a higher maximum temperature. When the wind speed reaches 6 m/s, the heat dissipation effect dominates and the maximum fire temperature decreases again. The higher the wind speed, the smaller the area of damage caused by high temperatures and heat flux. Comparing the temperature and heat flux density values predicted by the Cat Boost algorithm with the measured samples shows that the model is highly accurate and can identify overheating spots.These research results can inform the determination of lithium battery container accumulation modes and the corresponding fire monitoring.

       

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