考虑政府政策和绿色偏好的低碳海运供应链减排决策分析

    Analysis of emission reduction decisions in low-carbon maritime supply chains considering government policies and green preferences

    • 摘要: 为实现碳中和目标,政府和企业正全力加快航运业的绿色转型。本文针对低碳海运供应链(LMSC),考虑政府政策和消费者绿色偏好,运用斯塔克尔伯格博弈理论,构建航运公司和货运代理(货代)的二阶段博弈模型,确定双方的定价和碳减排水平决策,研究碳税、政府补贴和消费者绿色偏好对双方决策的影响。研究发现:1)航运公司与货代合作能够实现LMSC整体利润的最大化,为了进一步提高LMSC的碳减排水平,双方应共同主导LMSC的发展; 2)政府补贴和低碳意识的提高具有双重作用,不仅降低了碳排放水平还提高了企业利润,在某些情况下可能导致集装箱市场价格上涨; 3)虽然碳税能够显著提高LMSC的低碳水平,但它会降低各方的利润,并推高集装箱市场价格。

       

      Abstract: To achieve carbon neutrality,governments and enterprises are accelerating the decarbonization process in the shipping industry. This paper focuses on the Low-Carbon Maritime Supply Chain( LMSC),considering both government policies and consumers’ green preferences. A two-stage Stackelberg game model between shipping companies and freight forwarders is developed to determine optimal pricing and carbon emission reduction strategies,while examining the impacts of carbon taxes,government subsidies,and consumers ’ green preferences on decision-making. The analysis yields three main findings: First,cooperation between freight forwarders and shipping companies maximizes overall profits for the LMSC; however,to achieve higher emission reduction levels,both parties should co-lead the supply chain. Second,government subsidies and enhanced low-carbon awareness produce dual effects: while they help reduce emissions and increase corporate profits,they may also raise TEU market prices for consumers under certain conditions. Third,although carbon taxes significantly improve the low-carbon performance of the LMSC,they reduce profits for all participants and increase TEU market prices.

       

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