基于风浪耦合阻力模型的海上丝绸之路季节性失速研究

    Seasonal speed loss analysis on the Maritime Silk Road based on a coupled wind-wave resistance model

    • 摘要: 为探究风浪环境对远洋航线船舶航行性能的影响,提升航速调控与能效评估的科学性,构建了包含静水阻力与风浪附加阻力的耦合阻力模型,并结合直接功率法计算船舶失速率。以苏伊士运河至中国上海典型航段,划分红海入口段、阿拉伯海、孟加拉湾、马六甲—印尼北部、中国南海五个关键海域,利用ERA5的24年季节平均气象数据集,计算船舶在四季往返程的总附加阻力与失速率,进而揭示失速率分布特征。结果表明,阿拉伯海在夏季返程时附加阻力峰值最高,部分区域失速率超过11%,马六甲-印尼北部全年阻力波动小,失速率保持在低值。研究成果可为远洋航线的区域分段、航速调控与路径优化提供定量参考与数据支撑。

       

      Abstract: To investigate the influence of wind and wave conditions on ship navigation performance along ocean routes and to improve the scientific basis for speed regulation and energy-efficiency evaluation, a coupled resistance model incorporating calm-water resistance and wind-wave added resistance is developed in this study. Based on the proposed model and the direct power method,ship speed loss rates are calculated. Taking the route from the Suez Canal to Shanghai as a case study,five key sea regions are identified,including the Red Sea entrance,the Arabian Sea,the Bay of Bengal,the Malacca Strait-northern Indonesia region,and the South China Sea. Seasonal mean meteorological data from the ERA5 dataset spanning 24 years are employed to calculate the total added resistance and speed loss rates for both outbound and inbound voyages in different seasons,thereby revealing the spatial distribution characteristics of ship speed loss. The results indicate that the Arabian Sea experiences the highest added resistance during inbound summer voyages,with speed loss rates exceeding 11% in certain areas. In contrast,the Malacca Strait-northern Indonesia region exhibits relatively small annual resistance fluctuations and consistently low speed loss rates throughout the year. The findings provide quantitative references and data support for route segmentation,speed regulation,and voyage optimization along long-distance shipping routes.

       

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